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BB:#1 Bieber SPS; both 300k in pure sales

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Industry projections put first week sales for both albums just north of 300,000 units, not including streaming and track equivalent albums.

One key indicator is how preorders are showing at iTunes. On Apple's digital storefront, One Direction shows an advantage, with about 170,000 units on order versus 110,000 for Bieber. Or does that show an advantage? Bieber's digital sales across his discography account for 15.5 percent of his 10.7 million aggregated album sales. One Direction's digital penetration across the group's 6.64 million album scans in the U.S. stands at 34.8 percent, more than double Bieber's. So it stands to reason that One Direction would have more digital pre-orders, and digital data backs that up.

If it comes down to consumption (which takes into account all sales, plus track and stream-equivalent albums), label soothsayers give Bieber a slight edge, saying that he has stronger track sales at the moment. Also, Bieber has another advantage on streaming services. Both albums are expected to total between 50,000 and 80,000 equivalent units, with Bieber possibly winning that race by 10,000 units or so.    

 

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As Def Jam’s Justin Bieber and SYCO/Columbia’s One Direction square off ahead of their Friday releases, it’s looking like all-out war—with every sale, download and stream vital.

Bieber’s release-day Staples Center bundle, announced last night, ups the ante; we now hear that four total dates at the venue are on hold, with two of these all but sold out as of this story's publication. $22 tickets for the show entitle purchasers to admission and the album. That’s exactly $4 over the regular ticket price of $18. Depending on configuration, capacity at Staples is 18k.

This follows on the heels of a Bieber promotion letting Lyft riders download the album for $5 and get a credit of equal value.

1D, meanwhile, is offering exclusive content (a digital photo album, vinyl, video and more) with pre-orders.

Both acts will be doing major TV. JB began a week of Ellen yesterday that will culminate in an outdoor show on Friday; he’s Access Hollywood’s Artist of the Month, with splashy daily looks on air and online; he hits The Tonight Show on 11/17 and The Today Showthe following morning; and his dance film PURPOSE: The Movement will get a TBA primetime TV airing.

1D will be on Ellen’s outdoor stage on 11/18; they’ve tweeted that they’ll be doingKimmel with an outdoor performance on 11/19, with a $15.99 ticket-album-tote bag bundle for fans (which sold out instantly). 1D will also be on GMA next week sometime during the show’s 40-hour marathon 11/17-11/19, performing several songs, including the U.S. TV premiere of “Perfect.”

The Brit boys also launched a "first listen" event with preorder at movie theaters that could add to their totals.

Both acts have unleashed new instant-grat tracks in the last few days. 1D leads overall in preorders, but Bieber has moved to #1 on the iTunes album chart, while 1D sits at #4; JB’s “Sorry” is #2 on the singles side, “What Do You Mean?” is #6 and1D’s “Love You Goodbye” is #9. 

 

 

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Or does that show an advantage? Bieber's digital sales across his discography account for 15.5 percent of his 10.7 million aggregated album sales. One Direction's digital penetration across the group's 6.64 million album scans in the U.S. stands at 34.8 percent, more than double Bieber's. So it stands to reason that One Direction would have more digital pre-orders, and digital data backs that up.

How flawed. We're talking pre-orders not total sales. This doesn't mean shit. Let's wait for first day numbers and then judge, coz at this point they have nothing but guesswork to go on. 

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9 minutes ago, Gilly said:

i really really hope the king of pop, justin, takes it but idk cry0 one thing is for sure tho - bieber will win in the long run. No 1 curr for One 1 apart from their fanbase 

They had their half hour of fame jj2

 

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